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Israeli Prime
Minister Ariel Sharon has very possibly miscalculated. Sharon, whom many
Arabs call the "Butcher of Sabra and Shatila" - the Palestinian camps
where refugees were massacred under his watch during the Israeli
invasion of Lebanon more than 20 years ago - will suffer the
consequences of the assassination of Sheikh Ahmed Yassin, spiritual
leader and founder of Hamas.
He may have dealt
Palestinians a black eye, but the Israeli leader's action may be more
crippling to his admirer, President Bush, who always considered him "a
man of peace". This second punch followed a damaging blow from another
former official of his administration - the anti-terrorism czar - who
was incensed by Bush's projection of himself as having done "such great
things about terrorism".
According to
Richard A. Clarke, the United States counter-terrorism co-ordinator, who
served four US
administrations, Bush "failed to act prior to September 11, 2001, on the
threat from Al Qaida despite repeated warnings and then harvested a
political windfall for taking obvious, yet insufficient steps after the
attacks."
The rapid shift of
focus to Saddam Hussain, Clarke writes in his recently published book,
"launched an unnecessary and costly war in Iraq that strengthened the
fundamentalist, radical Islamic terrorist movement worldwide."
Sharon
began his political offensive, to the surprise and suspicion of friend
and foe alike, by dangling his suggestion for a unilateral Israeli
pullout from most of the Gaza Strip - weeks later he amended that to
include a total withdrawal - because there was no Palestinian peace
partner.
And then, days
before he finally agreed to a meeting with his Palestinian counterpart,
Ahmed Qorei, to work out the details, he reversed his position because
of a suicide bombing. One would have thought he would have gone ahead
with his proposal to avoid any such deplorable acts against civilians in
the future.
It it now evident
that Sharon also wanted to give the entire Arab world a black eye, whose
leaders are scheduled to meet in Tunis this coming weekend. The
anticipation, here and in the Arab world, has been that the Arab leaders
were ready to adopt some forward-looking measures on democracy.
These would be
based on home-grown ideas rather than on an American model, and that
they would revive an updated version of the Arab peace initiative,
championed by Saudi Arabia, that promised full normalisation of ties
provided Israel ended the occupation of Palestinian lands.
Jordan
and Egypt, the two Arab states to have signed peace treaties with
Israel, have been at the forefront of the 22-member Arab League in
championing such an outcome. King Abdullah of Jordan recently travelled
to Sharon's ranch in southern Israel to explain the Arab ideas.
But Sharon has
long feared such steps from the Arabs, and in fact sent his bureau
chief, Dov Weisglass, to London and Washington last month to discredit
these ideas which apparently interested some officials there.
The Jerusalem
Post, quoting Israeli diplomatic sources, revealed late last month that
Israel was hoping "to dampen [western] support" for a revival of the
Saudi initiative that "now includes a renewed call for international
forces" in the Israeli-occupied Palestinian areas.
Israel
has always opposed the presence of foreign troops on the borders between
the Palestinian and Israeli sides because it claimed it can no longer
pursue any infiltrator as it has been doing in its policy of targeted
assassinations.
But Sharon's real
motive has been his fear that the presence of an international force
would compel him to pull back his troops to the pre-1967 lines,
something he opposes vehemently and something the United Nations has
demanded.
The pre-dawn
killing of Sheikh Yassin, the quadriplegic and partially blind founder
of Hamas, by a missile fired from an Israeli helicopter as he was
leaving a mosque near his Spartan home, torpedoed any hopes of a
resumption of peace negotiations. In the three years of the intifada,
about 3,000 Palestinians and over 850 Israelis have been killed.
How could Sharon
escape condemnation for this odious action sanctioned by his supposedly
democratic government? How could this be excused as merely a reaction to
anything undertaken by desperate and lawless Palestinian elements? Why
couldn't Israeli forces, for example, arrest Sheikh Yassin, who at one
time spent eight years in an Israeli jail?
It is shocking
that the US
government's reaction would only go as far as saying it was "badly
troubled" by this killing. Sharon must have hoped that his dastardly act
would sidetrack the Arab summit and paralyse any Arab initative.
King Abdullah put
it aptly: "We are annoyed and pained by what happened despite our
arduous and persistent efforts with all sides, including the Israeli
government, to refrain from its policy of military escalation."
A fed-up Egyptian
President Hosni Mubarak, as one wire agency described him, told
reporters when asked about the impact of Sheikh Yassin's assassination,
"What peace process, when the situation is on fire?"
Mubarak, who
recently held talks with Israeli leaders on ways of resuming the peace
process and is scheduled to meet Bush next month, said Egypt was
aborting its efforts to get the negotiations back on track.
But Arab leaders
meeting in
Tunis must
remember that they have another serious challenge on hand and no one
would fault them for taking any appropriate action on this score. They
should, however, pursue their original intention of laying the
foundations for a more open society, which in the long run, will defeat
these Israeli machinations and improve the image of Arabs and Muslims.
In the end, the
true losers in this endless encounter remain Sharon's mindless
supporters, especially those in the Bush administration, who could
possibly face a knockout blow next November for their shoddy
performance.
* An Arab
American columnist living in Washington.