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"If Sharon successfully removes a majority of settlers from Gaza
(relocating them to the West Bank or the Negev), which he himself states
will take one or two years, he will, no doubt, be praised by the US and
Europeans for having made “painful concessions” for peace for which
Palestinians will have to reciprocate. Israel will be financially
rewarded and Sharon, having “relinquished” volatile Gaza, will have
strengthened his argument for maintaining control over those West Bank
areas deemed essential for security or settlement purposes."
"Most importantly, Israeli mothers and fathers do not want their
children sent to Khan Younis or Netzarim to perform military service,
where they face considerable danger."
From the time I started researching the Gaza Strip
almost two decades ago, I have encountered two recurring themes in
Palestinian-Israeli relations: Israel’s desire to rid itself of any
responsibility for Gaza, while maintaining control over it; and its
desire to “exchange” Gaza for full and internationally (read “American”)
sanctioned Israeli control of the West Bank.
Israeli Prime
Minister Ariel Sharon’s recent proposal to evacuate 17 of the 20
settlements in Gaza but leaving Israel with direct control over all of
Gaza’s borders, its air space and waters, and the settlement of Gush
Katif is simply the latest expression of longstanding Israeli policy
that will keep Gaza an imprisoned canton. Sharon’s proposal, which is
one part of his unilateral separation plan, would effectively complete
implementation of Oslo’s 1994 “Gaza and Jericho-First” plan, which
similarly aimed to create a provisional Palestinian state in Gaza,
allowing Israel to pursue, in one form or another, the de facto
annexation of the West Bank, which it very successfully did during the
seven years of the “peace” process.
In fact it was the
physical changes to the West Bank imposed by Oslo, notably its division
into areas A, B and C, that are now facilitating Sharon’s usurpation of
Palestinian lands and their incorporation into Israel.
The Gaza
disengagement plan, while a reversal of Sharon’s policies, should be
understood as part of the same political continuum created by the Oslo
process (and indeed by Israeli policies since 1967, beginning with the
Allon Plan). It should also be understood as serving the same goals: to
maintain full Israeli control direct and indirect over all
Palestinian lands and resources; consolidate and institutionalize direct
and permanent military and political control over a majority of the West
Bank (primarily through continued settlement expansion, the
concentration of settlers in main settlement blocs, control over the
Jordan Valley and the building of the separation barrier); secure, to
the extent possible, demographic separation with the Palestinians, and
thereby guarantee a Jewish majority within Israel (which may now include
transferring some Arab-Israeli citizens to a future Palestinian state);
and ensure that if a Palestinian state is declared, it will be weak,
diminished and highly dependent on Israel a condition Sharon believes
the Palestinians will have no choice but to accept. In this way, Sharon
is seeking to manage rather than end the conflict, in a manner
acceptable internationally and domestically.
If Sharon
successfully removes a majority of settlers from Gaza (relocating them
to the West Bank or the Negev), which he himself states will take one or
two years, he will, no doubt, be praised by the US and Europeans for
having made “painful concessions” for peace for which Palestinians
will have to reciprocate. Israel will be financially rewarded and
Sharon, having “relinquished” volatile Gaza, will have strengthened his
argument for maintaining control over those West Bank areas deemed
essential for security or settlement purposes.
Some observers argue that under such a scenario, Israeli control
could extend to almost 60 percent of the
West Bank, leaving
Palestinians under permanent and worsening occupation.
Domestically,
Sharon’s call to disengage from Gaza holds great appeal to many if not
most Israelis, including the military, which does not support its
occupation or the expense associated with it. Most importantly,
Israeli mothers and fathers do not want their children sent to Khan
Younis or Netzarim to perform military service, where they face
considerable danger. Furthermore, as a US official recently told
me: “The optics of Rafah are appalling to many here and abroad,” and
erasing them from popular consciousness has its own advantages.
For Palestinians these “optics” include: the division of the West Bank
into 300 isolated clusters, and Gaza into four; the building of more
than 500 military checkpoints throughout the West Bank and Gaza since
the start of the uprising, solidifying the fragmentation and isolation
of Palestinian lands and severely restricting the movement of people;
the demolition of at least 3,000 homes since September 2000, leaving
between 10,000 and 40,000 people homeless in Gaza alone while the
number of settlers in Gaza’s Kfar Darom and Netzarim settlements grew by
51 percent and 24 percent, respectively, since March 2001 when Sharon
came to power.
In parallel,
there has been a contraction of the Palestinian economy by half; an
average unemployment rate of between 30-40 percent over the last three
years, with rates in Gaza exceeding 50 percent at times; a poverty rate
that increased from 21 percent in September 2000 to 60 percent as early
as December 2002, with certain regions of Gaza reaching 80 percent; a
decline in overall food consumption of more than 25 percent per capita,
with more than half the Palestinian population totally dependent on food
aid, and over 22 percent of Palestinian children suffering from acute
and severe malnutrition levels equivalent to those in parts of
sub-Saharan Africa; the destruction of, and damage to, Palestine’s
physical resources, amounting to a loss of $1.7 billion through 2002;
and the building of the separation barrier in the West Bank, now
projected to run over 600 kilometers, cutting the
territory into 16 isolated communities, effectively annexing at least 15
percent and as much as 58 percent of the West Bank to Israel, and
entrapping or otherwise severely affecting over 670,000 Palestinians
through loss of land and destruction of assets.
In light of these realities, any attempt by Israel to
unilaterally separate from Palestinians will bring further misery and
certain disaster. Yet, such attempts have already been implemented long
before Sharon’s disengagement proposal. In May 2003, for example,
foreign visitors wishing to enter Gaza, including human rights and NGO
workers and international monitors, were required to sign a waiver
absolving Israel of responsibility for their injury or death by the
Israeli Army. Many refused and consequently fewer are present in Gaza.
On Jan. 4, 2004
Israel issued a new set of restrictions designed to obstruct the entry
of foreign nationals into Gaza and the West Bank, further isolating
Palestinians. Now, individuals wishing to enter the Occupied Territories
must apply for permission and obtain written authorization from the
Israeli civil administration. Permission to enter Gaza requires a
minimum of five days to obtain. Individuals found in the West Bank or
Gaza without official authorization can be deported and refused future
entry into Israel and the Occupied Territories.
Perhaps most worrisome, NGOs wishing to enter Gaza must now disclose the
following information to the Israelis which many are loathe to do
before permission will be given: information about the organization, its
annual report, website and scope of work; a 24-hour contact number and
the CV of the head of mission; information about the main funders of the
organization; a letter from the home consulate or embassy of the
organization stating it is recognized as an aid or development
organization; and a list of expatriate staff wishing to enter Gaza,
including names, passport numbers, nationality and position. This
information must be supplied five working days in advance of entry.
The requirements will increase the difficulties already encountered by
NGOs operating in the West Bank and Gaza. In fact, the provision of
humanitarian relief has become so encumbered that the heads of several
international and UN agencies have threatened to cease their operations
altogether.
Unilateral
separation, which in the end is physically and functionally impossible,
has yet to succeed as a long-term policy. Sharon’s strategy “giving
up” some land to gain control over other land is an old one among
Israeli politicians. What is different now is the rapidly deteriorating
conditions of life among Palestinians, and the slow but steady
dissipation of their society. There is no separation from that.
*Sara Roy is a
senior research scholar at the Center for Middle Eastern Studies,
Harvard University. She wrote this commentary for THE DAILY STAR