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THERE IS a fierce
argument raging inside the Israeli right-wing coalition government
concerning Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon’s plan to withdraw from
the Gaza Strip and evacuate the settlements. It is clear that the
majority of the ministers who represent parties that support settlers
are against Sharon’s plan, something that forced the Israeli PM to fire
two of his extreme ministers, one of whom disappeared to play cat and
mouse with
Sharon’s
emissaries hoping to destroy his plan to gain an artificial majority for
his plan.
Whether
Sharon is
able to gather the needed eleven votes to pass his withdrawal plan from Gaza
to his cabinet or not, however, is not the problem. The question is
whether he has the ability to implement the plan when it is approved.
There is a great difference between the Israeli government’s approval of
any decision and in taking it off the paper and actually implementing
it.
When assuming his post, Sharon’s
reputation was that of a strong man able to impose peace on Israeli
society and the only leader able to face down the right wing. Some even
compared him with the French leader Charles de Gaulle. But the
experience of past weeks and months have not supported the theory that
Sharon is “the man for difficult peace missions,” or even a man able to
impose his will on the settlers.
The clear evidence
of Sharon’s weakness in confronting the settlers and forcing them to
evacuate settlements was the case of the small isolated West Yetshar
settlement that was established on March 30, 2001. Despite vast numbers
of Israeli security personnel, the Israeli government was eventually
forced to back down after the settlers went to the Israeli courts to
challenge the dismantling. The settlement still stands.
The question among
a great sector of Israeli public opinion as well as the Palestinian,
Arabic and international community, is this: Can Sharon, who was not
able to dismantle a small settlement in the northern West Bank,
really evacuate 21 settlements in the Gaza Strip, in addition to another
four settlements in the West Bank? The
optimistic view that he can, is based on the evacuations of the Sinai
settlements by Sharon himself when he was the Defense Minister in the
first Likud government led by Menachem Begin following the signing of
the Camp
David
agreement with Egypt. But others
point out the difference today in the relationship between the Israelis
and Palestinians and the relationship then between Egypt and Israel.
Any settlement
evacuation or Israeli withdrawal from the Palestinian occupied
territories should be preceded by intensive pressure from the
international community and the great powers to persuade settlers and
the extremists that the period of occupation and settlement expansion is
over and that it is in the interests of everyone, including Israelis, to
achieve a just settlement that stops blood being spilt and returns
peace, security and mutual respect between both sides.