Back to
Opinions Page
Is it right to
declare a state before the state build its economy, its productive
bases?
Is it possible for
a huge bureaucratic apparatus to last while there is no local productive
base to meet its enormous salaries and needs?
Is it possible to
achieve freedom without sovereignty?
Is it possible to
sustain democracy without independence?
These are the main
reservations against Oslo Accords (OA), and against the recent elections
of the Palestinian Legislative Council (PLC) in the West Bank and Gaza
Strip (WBG) for the Palestinian Self- Rule (SR), in spite of its
technical success.
What is really
important is not the “wedding”, but whether the married couple will have
any food after cutting the “wedding cake”.
In this context,
an economic analysis is beneficial, albeit it disagrees with those who
try to minimize the role of the economic factor, which I still believe
is the determinant factor in the final analysis.
I
During the
Jordanian rule, pre- 1967 Zionist occupation, it was well known that the
West Bank (WB) was the “food basket for Jordan”. That is why Jordan was
able to export grapes, figs, olive oil and other products to Kuwait,
Saudi Arabia and some times even to Syria. However, this export was
based on market needs, and was not a form of assistance from those Arab
countries. During that period, there was no assistance to the
Palestinian people from USA, Britain or any other western capitalist
regime, and the NGOs did not even exist yet.
In the aftermath
of the occupation of WBG (1967) by the Zionist Ashkenazi State (ZAS), a
hot debate took place in Israeli cabinet as to how to deal with the WBG
economy.
The ZAS war
minister, Moshe Dayan suggested the integration of the WBG economy into
that of the occupation pushing for a full Palestinian economic
dependency on that of ZAS. Pinhas Sapir, the Israeli finance minister,
on the other hand, favored a policy of open trade between two separated
economies. Finally, it was Dayan's position that was adopted.
Throughout the
years, the Israeli occupation developed a plan of invisible
re-structuring of the WBG economy to the extent that each economic
sector and social class found itself dependent on the ZAS economy.
According to this plan, more than one third of the WBG labor force would
work in the ZAS economy, all exports and imports were either from that
economy or through it, and as result many productive companies left the
market, which was flooded with Israeli products…etc. Additionally,
massive confiscation of fertile Palestinian land took place, as well as
closure of vast areas of Palestinian land for so-called “security
reasons”.
II
The PLO, on the
other hand, failed to design and had certainly failed to implement a
policy for the development policy of the Occupied WBG. In fact, the PLO
was never interested in such a policy since it was a “rich”
organization, enjoying large donations from Arab rulers whose goal was
to contain the PLO, which will ultimately submit to the US and ZAS
solution of the Arab - Zionist conflict, a goal which was finally
crystallized in Oslo Accords (OA). The PLO was ignorant in the
philosophy and the culture of development. It was “too busy” in
political maneuvers ala Arafat style. This poverty in development was
brought to the WBG when the PLO was delegated to rule there after the
Oslo Accords (1993).
It should be noted
that the first Intifada was a turning point. No body ever expected that
it will transcend the struggle of the politicized elite to a full mass
and popular participation. The leadership of PLO failed to tackle this
significant development and advance it to levels of economic and
cultural Intifada in parallel to the political one. In fact, this
leadership decided to contain the Intifada to prevent the rise of a
popular leadership from within the WBG. This was one of the main reasons
why the PLO accepted the ZAS offer to lead a Self-Rule in the WBG. One
of the important lessons drawn from the first Intifada was that it is
impossible to fight your enemy as long as you are dependent on it.
The PA after Oslo,
however, did not care to learn from this lesson. It was agreed upon
between the ZAS and the western imperialisms to maintain the SR areas
economically dependent on foreign sources. That is why, the ZAS
minimized the number of Palestinian workers who were employed in its
economy, while the US, EU and Japan "volunteered" to fill in the gap.
III
Why are western
imperialists, who created and continue to arm the ZAS (including nuclear
weapons), so keen to finance the Palestinian SR?
Frankly, these
regimes have designed a solution to the Arab-Zionist conflict, at least
since 1937, that : "Israel, even before its declared as a state, was
created to be kept secured forever, and the Palestinian people be
evicted from its land to be re-settled as far as possible form the
borders of its native land". In other words, this position is designed
to ignore (and terminate) the Palestinian right of return (ROR).
But, how was the
second aspect of this dependency plan, i.e. dependency on the West,
designed?
First:
the ZAS have to minimize the number of Palestinian workers employed in
Israel, as a means of applying pressure on the population of the WBG and
force them to be immersed in their worries of meeting the needs of their
daily life and therefore, abandon political struggle. This would have
been the most effective way to pass political conspiracies.
Second:
Arab regimes shouldn't donate to the Palestinians since this will fill
in the gap created by the policies of the ZAS. Those regimes must follow
US restrictions and directions. The goal here, of course, is to prohibit
an Arab alternative to help the Palestinians.
Third:
Western imperialists have to fill in that gap, but under one condition:
the PLO must recognize the ZAS - Israel. That is precisely what
happened. Accordingly, the assistance which poured to the SR was, in
essence, is "political rent" to the Palestinian Authority (PA) for its
recognition of ZAS. This assistance was never meant nor paid for the
development of the PA economy. There were no signs that the donors would
regulate and/or supervise the use of these funds: i.e. to insist that
they must be for development. It was a deliberate policy from the side
of the donors to give the PA a free hand for corruption, so, the PA,
would to stay dependent on the donors and have no other way, but to
accept their position towards the solution of the conflict. The PA, one
year after the other, fell into deep corruption. When several
Palestinian politicians and intellectuals (myself included) issued the "Bayan
el ishrin” (The Manifesto of Twenty) in November 1999 mentioning
Arafat as the designer of corruption, we were jailed.
Years after that,
the donors started talking about corruption, but without punishing the
PA. The donors channeled more money to the PA through a “parallel body”,
the Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs) which, in turn, became a new
corrupting machine.
It is the policy
of the donors to facilitate corruption as a first (and top priority)
condition for dependency. And here in Palestine, corruption is necessary
for achieving and implementing political dependency.
The interest of
the donors, ZAS and the PA were in harmony for deepening corruption,
creating a huge apparatus of employees who are dependent on the regime
for their income and daily living. This was at the cost of creating
productive jobs. This apparatus employs nearly 200,000 persons; more
than 50,000 of them are secretly employed. As resources to support this
number of employees became scarcer, the PA became more and more
dependent on the donors.
IV
The PA fell into
the trap, and it makes no difference whatsoever whether or not it did by
mistake or deliberately – the trap and the crisis of: Rapid
establishment of an authority without independence, the employment of
nearly 200,000 persons in a country with poor resources and, finally,
becoming totally dependent on foreign financing, this same financing
which become like Damocles' sword over the neck of the PA.
That is why it is
impossible for any dependent authority to manage and rule without
submitting to the political agenda of its donors. That is why the PA has
to face the difficult and challenging equation: Could it,
simultaneously, adhere to resistance of occupation, on the one hand, and
finance most of its needs from donors who are against any form of
resistance, on the other? I had continuously argued that this is
impossible, at least in the era of globalization where western
capitalist regimes and ruling classes insist, even if it is not declare,
that there will be: "No resistance in the era of globalization". In
fact, I have raised these issues in several public gatherings in
Ramallah with attended by various segments of the Palestinian public
including Hamas supporters.
Here lies the
danger and true role of Oslo Accords, here lies, if you will, the real
meaning of Oslo, which is the termination of the ROR, albeit not written
in the text of Oslo Accords (OA) themselves, or declared verbally. But,
any profound reading of these accords will reveal that their content is
aimed against the ROR.
V
That is why, once
Hamas won the majority in the PLC elections, US, EU, ZAS and even some
Arab rulers launched a political and psychological campaign against
Hamas threatening to disarm it, demanding it to recognize the ZAS and to
delete from its charter the destruction of the state of Israel. The
statement against Hamas is clear: To receive money you have to make a
declared U-Turn out of all your programs, beliefs and commitments. This
is the price of dependency.
Where is the place
of the ‘democratic game’ in the current Palestinian situation? Morals
have no place in politics or in economic interests. It is certain that
the PLC elections were the free choice of the Palestinians in the WBG.
However, who dares to say that the US, EU and ZAS are ready to respect
the will of the Palestinians? Western capitalist democracy actually
threw a bomb over the heads of the Palestinians, essentially telling
them: either you abandon your national rights or you will face famine.
Since it was
expected that the PLC elections were going to be used to terminate the
ROR, and because the western capitalist pressure were expected as well,
the Islamic Jihad Movement, the Arab nationalist current and some
socialists declared the boycott of these elections. I am, like all these
people, proud to say that my thumb was not stained by the ink of these
elections.
We boycotted these
elections, along with nearly one fourth of the voters. The hope remains
that Hamas will succeed in the after-the-elections battle.
VI
What is more
important is that Hamas and the majority of the Palestinians in WBG are
facing the following choices:
1-
to
abandon the ROR and exchange it for “bread”;
2-
to
expect a situation of chaos;
3-
Hamas to
gave up its political position;
4-
to look
for partners accepted by US and ZAS;
5-
for
Hamas to gave up power;
6-
any
other solutions which might be very compromising.
There is no doubt
that the main gains of these elections are in favor of the ZAS, US and
EU. Any political solution under the current circumstances is in favor
of the camp of the people's enemy. If the crisis leads to an internal
war among Palestinians, the enemy will be more satisfied. If Hamas gives
up power, the enemy will be delighted, and Hamas will lose its popular
support the same way it happened to Fateh when most of the WBG
Palestinians understood Oslo, although few years later.
The most ironic
issue is that the Palestinians in the shatat
[1]
protest for not being allowed to vote in the PLC elections. This protest
came in spite of the fact that these elections targeted the ROR. It
behooves the shatat Palestinians to demand the right of elect the
Palestinian National Council (PNC), the highest political authority of
the Palestinian people.
Finally, will
Hamas offer enough flexibility to meet US, EU and ZAS conditions?
Flexibility that is adequate to ensure that these forces might offer
Hamas the “ladder” to step down gradually from its high political
ceiling and program, without looking as if it, Hamas, has “turned its
back” to its program and it constituency.
And, if these
forces (US, EU and ZAS) decide to go this route, would they decide to
sacrifice the “First Oslo Palestinian Team”, i.e. the Fateh - PLO team,
for the new one. All this is, of course, possible in politics, but, in
all cases, the economic needs, or in fact, the material factor will
still be the determining one.