1- Israel
and the peace- Phobia
2- peace
unleashes Israel Paranoia
3- The
reoccurrence of Jewish massacres and its relation to the chasms
in the Jewish personality.
4- Israeli
Divisions over the settlement
5- Worldwide
Strategic Chaos
6-
Israel's Fraudulence in Negotiations: A
Psychological trait.
7- Towards
a classification of the factors governing the Arab-Israeli
settlement: the road map as a
model.
Top
1-
Israel and the peace-
Phobia
By returning to the Israeli documents disclosed after thirty
years of classification and to the works of some Israeli
neo-historians, especially Avi Shalem's "The Iron Wall", which
had explored the archives of Israel's foreign ministry and
affirmed the existence of ample evidence indicating the Arab's
readiness for peace and negotiations as far back as September,
1948, one can clearly realize that Israel was the one to reject
peace and not the Arabs. Confirming Israel's war philosophy,
shalem addresses an essay of Vladimir Jabotinsky, the founder of
the Zionist movement's political right wing. In his 1922 essay,
Jabotinsky wrote:" the Arabs will never accept or agree on
establishing a Hebrew state with a Jewish majority in Palestine.
… hence, an "Iron Wall" should be established in order to
fortify Israel against any Arab attack"… Although Ben-Gurion
(then prime minister) did not agree on this way of thinking, he
submitted to the remarkable acceptance of this proposition among
the Zionist leaders.
Shalem maintains that adopting the principle of an "Iron Wall"
consisting of a superior military power makes transpiercing
Israel extremely difficult, if not impossible, according to
Jabotinsky. For this reason, Israel was never in a hurry to make
peace with its Arabs neighbors. The Israeli leaders' perception
of their country's military and diplomatic power has always
driven them toward attempting to use time in order to serve long
term objectives, which encouraged them to rule out peace and
never place it among their priorities. Over the years, peace
turned into an Israeli "phobia-generating" nightmare, the
translation of which came through the assassination of Rabin and
the expression of the Israeli fear of transformation in an "Arab
supermarket" because of peace.
2-
peace unleashes Israel
Paranoia
Aware of its military superiority and the fact that it will
always enjoy the sponsorship of the great powers, Israel sees
any peace rhetoric as totally inconsistent with logic. In
principle, negotiations usually come as a result of the involved
parties' inability to settle the conflict to their advantage an
inability which Israel refuses to admit, knowing for sure that
it would have never been able to decide the outcome of this
conflict had it not been for the American interference. This, in
turn, makes Israel feel of a persecutive American role, while
denying the positive nature of this role in terms of protecting
the Israeli interest.
This perception of a persecutive role unleashes the chronic
Israeli/ Jewish paranoia, which portrays any peace initiative as
sheer aggression in the Israeli unconscious. Along with the
"peace- phobia", this paranoia becomes much more aggravated by
the Israeli demographic crisis, whereas the depletion of the
Jewish "human reservoir" leads many Israeli scholars to talk
about the demise of Israel. of the most important writings on
this subject, suffice it to cit Yussi Belin ( a former minister
of justice) in his book " the demise of Uncle Sam", where Belin
expresses a need to rid Israel of its Jewishness in order to
overrun the chronic paranoia, because of which Jews view other
peoples as "gentiles" or incomplete human beings! In other
words, peace entails a Jewish recognition of "gentiles" in a way
that would be in contrast with the Jewish "God's chosen people"
myth.
Top
3-
The reoccurrence of Jewish massacres and its relation to the
chasms in the Jewish personality.
In retrospect, any review of the recurring Jewish massacres,
through history, shows that this repetition was associated with
a pathologic – aggressive behavioral matrix which encompasses
the Jewish approach in any relation with the "other". In other
words, this behavior reflects a Jewish attempt to approach the
despotic aggressor and help him in his aggression, in return for
a benefit for the Jewish people.
Consequently, Jewish massacres occur as a result of the
accumulation of Jewish infringements upon weak people and the
latters' uprising against the aggressor.
This recurring stereotype behavior brings us back to the studies
of the "collective personality" (cultural anthropology), where
Roheim – an analyst- observes that a nationalistic character
must have an unchanging existence through generations, based
upon the recurrence of the same childish attitude.
Perhaps the main inspiring factor behind the childish attitude –
in the Jewish case- is the monopolization of the status a
"superb people", as established by the Jewish (religious)
teachings that sanction causing harm to the "other" and never
hold Jews responsible for that, unless when the harmed people
are also Jews( of the same race or religion). The accumulation
of these wrongs against "gentiles" and deeming that permissible
is the real generator of the recurring Jewish massacres. here,
Israel presents a tangible pattern of this Jewish monopolistic
desolation, through confiscating the land and infringing upon
the people, but also through the recurring aggressions against
Arab peoples, as expressed by its functional role which serves
American interests in this region, in spite of the fact that
this role includes dominating the regions security and wealth,
as well as its future and the future of the people living in it.
Top
4-
Israeli
Divisions over the settlement
Prior to the Untied States war on Iraq, world political
intellectual elites held a certain conviction in relation to a
qualitative change in the coming wars and conflicts, whereas
these wars would become, suppositional due to the development of
rights' concepts and the incrimination of the use of destructive
powers to serve state interests.
This conviction was associated with presumed termination of the
"policy of force" fascism. On the basis of this conviction, many
Jewish theorists stood up to call for an end of Zionism, since
Zionism was no more capable of going along with future
developments. Along with this call, many alternatives were
proposed under the name of "Post-Zionism currents", including
the current of "Israeli- Neo historians". But these currents
retreated to the advantage of fascist Zionism when Bush adopted
the concept of preemptive wars, which brought back fascism to
the lead and legitimated the use of force in order to gain might
which is equivalent to power. The very concept embraced by
Zionists who reject peace on the same basis. It could be said
that the Iraq war pattern has reanimated fascist Zionism and
awakened its expansionist ambitions and the investment of its
military superiority, transforming the "road map" into one of
the silly jokes that bush used to utter and reiterate
5-
Worldwide Strategic Chaos
The Republican Party agreed with a group of American strategies
that the United States had gone through a period of strategic
chaos during Clinton's presidency. They wondered: to what extent
it would be possible to go on with Clinton's tactical policy of
addressing the cases, "case by case", without a strategic view?
The republicans ran for the 2000 elections with a pledge to set
new strategic basis for the American policy. However, Bush's
attitudes dashed any hope to fulfill this pledge, since the
United States has been under the pressure of an unprecedented
strategic disarray for sometime now, whereas the Afghanistan was
model has not been fit for Iraq an the latter's model could not
be fit for North Korea, and so on. Bush and his Hawks,
notwithstanding, insist on considering the preemptive war
principle a strategic and reliable one, ignoring the fact that
such a principle could never be suitable to be adopted in many
different cases, including the North Korean one.
Of all the components of this disarray, there is one that holds
much importance: in order to maintain the advantages of its
functional role in serving the U.S interests, Israel was forced
to desist from taking any strategic decision (especially
concerning a comprehensive settlement) under this American
strategic chaos. Taking such a decision would certainly drive
Israel into a critical situation that may render it incapable of
meeting its required functions after the establishment of a new
American strategy.
Top
6-
Israel's Fraudulence in Negotiations: A
Psychological trait.
After lengthy rounds of Arab-Israeli negotiations, it is
necessary for us to evaluate- in retrospect- the course of these
negotiations, with the aim of identifying and analyzing the
components of the negotiation skill invested in the negotiation
rounds, on many levels and with various methods of pressure.
Negotiating skills are partly dependent on a nascent branch of
psychology, known as the "psychology of negotiations", an
assumption of which is "the psychology of conflict resolution".
This branch does not constitute an independent field of
specialization, but rather works on investing in and harnessing
of all available psychological fields and knowledge,
particularly in terms of bolstering negotiation skills, which
means its extensity from the political domain to all situations
that require negotiation. Hence, this field of specialization
may help us strengthen our negotiation resources. But, most
importantly, this knowledge helps us uncover Israel's
negotiation techniques and the difference between styles of
negotiation among Israeli interlocutors.
Following, we shall focus on Israel's basic negotiation
techniques, ignoring nuances of interlocution on the individual
level especially that the lengthy negotiation process has
demonstrated that such nuances were no more than tactical
details, whereas strategic objectives remain unchanged in terms
of their invariable aggressive nature. In most cases, changing
the Israeli interlocutor has been used as a convenient occasion
to turn away from previous steps, which prompts us to trace the
fraudulence trace contained in the attitude of an Israeli
interlocutor. Thus, we need to introduce as scientific
definition of the fraudulent personality, as a preliminary step
towards a fair comparison between the "fraudulent attitude" and
the "Israeli attitude".
According to ancient Roman laws, fraudulence (or using deception
and hoax to make someone give up some of his gains to the
advantage of the fraudulent person) was a kind of skill. There
were two types of fraudulence:
-
sanctioned deception – when practiced on foreigners ( or
enemies) ; and
-
Forbidden deception- when used in dealing with nationals.
Roman laws did not recognize any of the foreigner's rights.
Regarding the psychological traits of the fraudulent
personality , they can be classified as follows:
-
A covetous and developed aggressive personality that
strives for profits, but- at the same time- avoid using
violence as a tool to make the desired profits ( perhaps
out of fear of law);
-
An absence of moral principles, which mean that a
fraudulent person will always be ready to take every
immoral course in order to achieve his goals;
-
An extraordinary capability to convince the victim;
-
Restoring to a third party ( an ally or a person being
used) for help in convincing the victim;
-
Striving to know everything about the victims, so that it
would be easier to entrap them;
-
Always changing the ways and tools of deception (
different faces and roles);
-
Deception requires guts and rudeness of certain types, as
selling illusions depends on some kind of courage and
getting the highest price for these illusions requires
impudence;
-
The ability to perform deceitful roles;
-
Rightfully choosing the victim from potential ones, and
smartly exploiting the circumstances of the chosen victim;
-
The absence of any sense of guilt ( as a result of an
absence of moral conscience), which provides the deceiver
with boldness, enough to make new commitments with the aim
of carrying with the blackmailing process;
-
A pathological aspiration, which makes the deceiver strive
covetously for gains he does not deserve.
-
The skill of exploiting others, in support of the
deceiver's apparent position and his ability to convince,
to order to prop up may other parties to compete for the
illusive gains he had promised them.
-
A fear from future- one of the deceiver's rare weaknesses.
This fear legitimates the exploitation of others in the
deceiver's eyes and increase his aggressiveness towards
them, as he considers them enemies – who threaten and
stimulate his fears of the future (especially becoming
poor).
In the case of Israel, other convictions are due:
1-
"the chosen people of god" perception, which involves –inter
alia- the attitude of extreme aggressiveness towards the
"other";
2-
Despising the "gentiles" and;
3-
Defending each and every "Jewish" right.
As for the United States' position on the negotiation process,
it seems totally consistent with the "third party's position",
which the deceiver usually exploits in bolstering his claims and
making the victim believe him, because lying, alone, would not
be sufficient in this case, but rather it would depend – in most
cases- on a promotion from a third party who comes to approve
the deceiver's allegations, regardless of the real intentions of
the former. The important thing is that the "the third party"
must be apparently independent, in a sense that his endorsement
of the deceiver's allegation may constitute an independent
personal opinion and that this intervention would be based upon
the imposter's effort and planning.
In her essay " The Imposter: a contribution to the ego
psychological by a psychopath", Helene Deutch maintains that the
world is full of such people like impostors and swindlers who
chased her wherever she goes… she finds the impostor among her
friends and acquaintances, but also inside herself… the impostor
is a psychopath who tries to lessen the differences between the
pathologically inflated ideal ego and the other part of his ego,
which is especially ignoble, despised and laden with sins…
An Impostor behaves as if his ideal ego was identical to with
him, and expects others to recognize this. If the inner voice of
his despised ego, on the one hand, and the responses of the
world outside, on the other hand, reminded him of his
unrealistic ideal ego, then he will hang on to his narcissist
position and desperately try- through pretension and under the
evil of someone else's name- to maintain his ideal ego and
impose it on the world.
A similar conflict, though of a milder nature, originates inside
the sound character, as the ideal ego of an individual can not
be totally satisfied from the inside. Hence, we orient our need
toward the outer world, pretending that we really are what we
wish to be. More often, we encounter the panoramic responses of
the sound character, because the milieu has rejected such
imposture.
Lionel Finkelstein views the impostor as a person who
fraudulently assumes another name or identity in order to
deceive other people – a kind of "patho-lier" who hopes to
profit by means of deception.
Unlike the pretensions or ostentations person, who often fails
to deceive people and leaves them impressed by his pretensions,
an impostor succeeds, at least for a while, in dazzling his
victims and making them believe his ploys. For him, playing this
role is different from performing other worse pretensions, while
roles manifest different forms of skill or proficiency that
involves embracing a compulsory repetitive behavior resulting
from untangled pathological inner conflicts.
The compulsory nature of such an attitude is similar to its
counterpart in other forms of eruptive behavior which is often
described as motivating. However, fraudulent deeds can hardly be
considered an exact assimilation of events, in away that serves
to prevent the painful recalling of events suppressed since
childhood.
An impostor may or may not be a crook (a person who tricks
people to plunder their money after they have trusted him), a
swindler, or a psychopath implicated in criminal acts or deeds
that are against the common good of society. Furthermore, many
people assume the personality of a fraud in certain instance of
their lives; travelers to remote places tend sometimes to use
false names and also, homosexual people lead to profligate life
in which they wear strange clothes and use unfamiliar names.
However, real impostors lead a life that makes them unprepared
to be analyzed, unless they come to ask for help, how quickly it
would turn out that their characters make them recalcitrant and
incurable.
Their dishonesty, super facility, inability to withstand
despair, tendency to act and deep pathological inclinations come
to undermine any effort that aims to help them.
Phyllis Greenacre sees that an impostor is not just a liar, but
rather a very rare kind of liars who impose on other people
fabrications about their achievements, social status, mundane
properties…etc.
In addition, an impostor might act this way through
counterfeiting his real identity and introducing himself under a
false name, or even by changing parts of his credentials,
whether assumed or forged along certain along a certain imagined
perception of him. Moreover, we notice, on the impostor's part,
similar alleged achievements, wide- ranging impersonations, or
unbelievable allegations. It seems that deception involves a
certain degree of hope in terms of gaining material objects or
achieving tangible benefits.
The contradiction between "real identities" and alleged
identities may not be exaggerated and consequently, it would not
be right to explain this contradiction according to the
superficial analytic approach which says that imposture is
always practiced as a mean to obtain direct benefits. Suffice it
to cite a few examples that would show us how most "ordinary"
impostors and swindlers are immature, through skilled, and to
what extent their planning could be wrong, not to mention their
real lack of prudence.
Moreover, fraudulent attitudes involve spectacular parading and
a complete dependence on the victims' favorable response to
deception. In some examples. A swindler may have seemed
successful only because the others had- much like the actual
felon- a strong inclination to believe the imposter, while any
successful imposture is bound to be really dependent on strong
social and individual factors and on a peculiar receptivity to
deception and fraudulence. To this extent, those who were
subject to imposture are not only victims, but also they were
accomplices who had consciously (or unconsciously) colluded.
Based on what we have previously mentioned, one can draw the
following conclusions:
1-
Both Helen Deutch and Lionel Finkelstein agreeably maintain that
most fraudulent attitudes can be detected in the two realms of
normality and abnormality. However, some lines of behavior among
normal people may be depicted as fraudulent and pretensions,
while among abnormal people, these lines of behavior assume the
special pathologic property of impudence.
2-
Finkelstein and Greenacre approach the legal definitions of a
swindler, whereas they maintain that an imposter hopes to
achieve some benefits by way of deception. However they claim
that such an attitude doe not- in fact- constitute the basic
motive behind imposture.
3-
Both Finkelstein and Greenacre mention some of the
characteristics of a fraudulent personality, such as:
dishonesty, superficiality, inability to withstand frustrations;
proneness to action; immaturity; erroneous planning; lack of
prudence; exhibitionism; and the reliance on public acceptation.
4-
Greenacre accentuates the importance of the victims who often
tend to believe the impostor, contributing as such to the
success of the bluff.
5-
The significance of the previous definitions was confined to one
type of impostors: the one who assume a certain personality and
uses the name, status or identity of someone else, whether real
or fake.
Although there are too many analytic studies and researches on
the "fraudulent personality", analyzing the act of fraudulence –
on the collective level- brings us to Froid, who studied the
Jewish personalities' roguish characteristics and mentioned the
false and recurrent allegations of the Jewish history. Froid
indicated the Jewish imposture: their alleged lineage back to
the forefathers as a mean of alleviating the recreation released
against them by the local population who viewed them as invaders
and colonists. He also pointed out at the psychopath paranoia of
the Jewish personality.
Based on the previous presentations, an impostor is every one
who gets to take over the property of others, either by
imposture, or by other fraudulent ways: making people believe
that there is an unnatural project or enterprise; drive them to
aspire for illusionary profits; paying back money taken by means
of fraudulence; implying that there is a forfeit bond; disposing
of cash or real estate that belongs to others; or using a false
name or status.
If we take the agreements as an example, we will notice the
presence of a third (American) party which exerts tremendous
pressures on the negotiating parties to such a degree that these
pressures have driven the Palestinian all the way to accept
paying whatever price required, while the Israelis have
committed themselves to the same fixed concessions announced by
Israel itself.
For the Palestinians, this price was too expensive, but also
embarrassing to a degree that required the presence of king
Hussein. In spite of that, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu did
not implement that agreement, and now Barak prefers to buy more
time and procrastinate the implementation. This kind of
disavowal falls in the "imposture variety". Hence, it is useful
to reconsider the "imposture's psychology" before applying its
principles to this example:
a-
"imposture Strategy" in Wye-River:
At the beginning, it is important to indicate the stance of the
third party, represented by the United States, who worked hard-
aided by Israel- to keep the other supervising parties away from
the negotiations. It is worth mentioning, here, that the United
State's interference was determined in light of Israel's
interference was determined in light of Israel's planning, most
evidently verified by Barak's public demand, in a press
conference for a limited American interference during the next
stage.
The United States' submissive response to this demand clearly
indicates its bad faith in supporting the Israeli fraudulent
deeds. On the other side, clearly the Arab parties could never
make such a demand and get a positive response to it.
In Wye- River, President Clinton exerted tremendous pressures on
the Palestinians; in a way that embarrassed them in front of the
Arab public opinion whereas calling for king Hussein (then at
the last gasp) to attend the meetings was coverage for the
embarrassment which encapsulated the Palestinian acquiescence to
each and every declared Israeli condition.
At the same time, Clinton had to make great efforts in order to
convince Netanyahu of signing an agreement that meets all the
latter's conditions. Yet, what was the result?
The result was an insistence on the part of Israel on making the
clause pertaining to the establishment of the Palestinian state
conditional upon the agreement of all parties! This clause, in
itself, meant that any advance towards implementing the
agreement would depend on the results of additional rounds of
negotiations. In other words, this Israeli condition rendered
the agreement absolutely valueless and turned it into just
another gratis Palestinian concession. Nonetheless, the
Palestinians signed the agreement, but the Israelis refused to
implement any of the steps set forth in the text!
To simplify this ( keeping in the mind difference between the
envisioned picture and the real fact on the ground) we cite the
following example: A man comes to a certain piece of land and
takes possession of it ( by occupancy)… the land owner demands
the restorations of his property, but the occupier refuses to
leave unless on certain conditions… the land owner agrees on
these conditions and pays the stated price… however, the
occupier still refuses to depart the land and begins to set
additional conditions, capitalizing on the land owner's
submissive and incapability to restore his land.. And so on… Is
not this sheer imposture? … What can we conclude from "wye-
River" and the above cited demonstrative story?
Based on what we have already stated, one can conclude the
following:
1-
The declared Israeli conditions are not real, but rather a mere
trap to drag the Arabs agrees interlocutor in. if the Arabs
agree on that, in spite of the harsh and aggressive conditions,
they will only get a new negotiation process. A probative
evidence of this has been the course of Palestinian negotiations
in its numerous stages.
2-
Israel strives to perpetuate its ostensible role as a peace-
seeking party through setting extremely embarrassing conditions
in front of the Arab interlocutor; if the latter agrees on such
conditions , another more embarrassing condition will await him.
3-
The role of the United States- as a third party- is not a vital
one, nut rather yielding to signals issued by the Israeli
interlocutor. As a result, American pressures on the two sides
would neither be proportionate nor fair.
4-
The United States' direct interference in the region has filled
the vacuum in the absence of the Soviet Union, which prevents
Israel from acting violently. Hence the Israelis turned to
investing their aggression in avaricious negotiation attitudes,
embracing a temporal extortionate policy.
5-
Israel has an overwhelming information power employed in
convincing the world public opinion and obtaining international
consent and support. The Israelis use this clout every time they
dodge the moral principles of negotiations, especially when it
comes to fulfilling their commitments.
6-
It is hard to find a country that can match Israel in terms of
its ability to play fraudulent roles. For example, Netanyahu was
able to dodge the provisions of Wye-River agreement, claiming
that the Israeli public opinion was against such an agreement
(an extremely democratic and liberal excuse which no one should
ever be vexed by?!). Barak, in turn, has promised to submit the
results of any negotiation process to a referendum (as a
confirmation of this democracy!).
7-
Regarding the favorable judgment in terms of choosing the
victim, Israel began with Egypt ( with the latter's special
circumstances, including the incapacity of its leaded –Nasser's
successor- to fill the vacancy), then turned to other Arab
countries, while maintaining a persistent concomitance of
Israel's "good choice" and "patience" conductive to favorable
timing.
8-
When we talk about Israel, particularly on this matter, we do
not only speak of a pathologic ambition, but also of an
unlimited paranoia firmly established in the Israeli literature.
9-
We came to the skill of using the parties involved and pushing
them to compete for assuming the "victim's status". We deduce
that the skill has always found expression in Israel's ability
to disconnect the Arab tracks and deal with each one separately,
after stripping it of its strategic depths.
10-
The fear from future is a prominent component of the current
Israeli behavior. At the same time, the United States strives to
cut down its expenditures earmarked for confronting communism.
Since peace makes a suitable way out for the United States, to
rid itself of its financial commitments to Israel- something
that makes Israel really horrified, one must consider the
consequences of an aggravated contradiction between American and
Israeli interests.
What we have just stated above many comprise an unquestionable
psychological diagnosis of Israel's dependence on imposture.
Shameless and impudent as it is, Israel makes a contemporary
manifestation of the Roman law which deprived the "other" of all
rights and considered bluffing him a permissible rather than a
criminal act. Perhaps the most impudent Israeli imposture is
still hidden and will come out later under the motto:" Israel
enjoys enough strength to impose its conditions… why should the
Israelis negotiate…?"
It is not a self- imagined idea forged by us, rather it is the
idea put forward by the extremist Israelis who cast Netanyahu as
a "peace dove", after they had murdered Rabin only because he
dared to "touch" their "red lines". Those are the ones who
threaten to kill Barak, so as to make a hero out of an impostor.
The question is:"Are the Israelis ready to buy peace for such a
high price?"… Or, "did Israel want peace in the first place?"…
Top
7-
Towards a classification of the factors governing the
Arab-Israeli settlement: the road map as a model.
Since "Devil lies in the details" and based upon the policy of
information overflowing and deliberate intelligence leakages, we
believe there is a strong need for a sober classification of the
fundamentals in a way that protect us from falling in the puzzle
of details. This principle stands out strongly in an
"information age" controlled by "information people".
Upon discussing the "Road Map" project, we can find in this
principle a steering factor at this political and economic
stage, where things have become much dangerous and chaotic
because of the events of the past few years. By returning to the
Road Map, we aim at recording a number of "strategic
fundamentals" that need to be discussed, in order to turn these
"fundamentals" into steering elements that would make certain
defined categories capable of taking the most precise details.
At first, we would like to list these fundamentals and, then
discuss them in details beginning with:
1-
For some time, the American economy has been suffering serious
crises that kept on exacerbating day after day. The capitalist
world's attachment to this economy makes it as much involved as
America, but also a conniver at the military treatments chosen
by the Bush administration as the only solution to this crisis.
2-
The capitalist state opposition to the attitude of the Bush
administration is based upon these states' desire to go shares
in the "military treatments" and to acquire some kind of
immunity against them.
3-
A careful review of the Republican Party's criticism of
Clinton's policies would indicate the confrontational course
harbored by the Bush republican Administration. Such a review is
rather important to understand the Bush Administration's
motives, positions and projects.
4-
The September 11 incidents have been used by the Bush
administration as a pretext to participate its confrontational
projects. However, nothing new happened as a result of these
incidents, which mean the September 11 was innocent of the
charge of changing the world.
5-
The republicans have been critical of "operation Desert Fox",
describing it as a play by which Clinton had been able to avoid
choosing the "Iraqi Rifle" (while President Bush has been intent
on doing so). They claim that Clinton refused any intervention
in the uprising, in order to keep the Israelis and Palestinians
under his control during his war in Iraq.
6-
Accusations leveled at Bush, because of the wars waged by his
administration on spurious pretexts and for exorbitant strategic
prices, serve to promote his image as a peacemaker. The Road Map
was no more than an "election mask" for Bush.
7-
Everyone knows that Bush's ability to press the negotiating
parties will cease by early November (with the on set of the
American by- elections) when Bush will turn into a "lame duck"
(a president in his last year).
8-
Israel realizes the scope of the current American chaos and
works on benefiting from this chaos. It will not submit to any
kind of pressure – no matter how acute- as to making any
strategic decision amid this chaotic situation.
9-
There are ideological differences between the "Bush people" (the
Zionist- Christianity) and the Israelis and Jews in general.
Thus the Jews brought down George Bush Sr. and gave his son no
more than 2% of their votes, making the latter the most
abhorrent president for Jews in the U.S history.
10-
Bush is known as a dishonest man of an inherent inclination to
adopt devious ways. With respect to the Road Map, he would
hardly feel embarrassed in abandoning it. The same is true for
the Palestinian state promise, which was supposed to be
fulfilled in 2005. In the past, he had disclaimed Mitchell and
Tennet plans and threw Clinton's efforts in the waste basket.
11-
Bush sees himself capable of forcing the Arabs into swallowing
deadly medicaments in the mean time. He does not mind presenting
them as rewards to Israel in return for its approval of his
"Zionist Christian plans".
12-
From the previous point ramifies the precedence of neither an
American mediator nor being ostensibly unbiased, but rather
implicitly aligned with Israel. This American mediator has
become a party that aims at exploiting the interlocutors in
order to let pass his ambitions. Hence, he wants to push things
ahead towards a justification of the deployment of an American
disengagement force between Israel and the Palestinians
13-
Declaring Israel a Jewish state was but an unprecedented
American mine. It does not only mean an Israeli chance to
displace Arabs from the territories occupied in 1948, but also a
return of American Jews (Uncle Sam) to Israel. If they were to
resist the complete assimilation into the American life style-
the beginning of Bush's revenge upon the American Jewish lobby
and its influence.
14-
In spite of these threats, Israel still refuses to take any
strategic step that may place it now in a situation which would
be against the U.S interests in the future, especially with the
prospect of strategic American overtures of a dramatic nature.
15-
The organization of the Iraqi resistance would cause Bush to
burry the Road Map and turn again to the Iraqi file.
16-
The Palestinian Authority's bet on the Road Map is hopeless.
However, it involves much temptation, including the succession
of Arafat.
17-
The medicaments prescribed by the United States to the countries
in the Middle East are very effective. However, they kill the
patient. Iraq was killed such medicaments and we must protect
the rest of the Arabs against these brutal treatments.
18-
In spite of what we have just mentioned and the total lack of
confidence between Bush and the Jews, one can not overlook the
fact that a tactical understanding could get Bush a higher
percentage of Jewish votes in return for a prolongation of
Sharon's terms as prime minister and/ or turning a blind eye at
a large scale Israeli (military) operation.
19-
The international neglect of Syria in the ongoing negotiations
indicates that the United States was never serious in its effort
to achieve any positive step towards the end of the next
American elections.
20-
Israel bets on an unprecedented American connivance at its
aggression against the Palestinians. This bet is related to the
eruption of an Iraqi resistance that could be very painful for
the Americans, especially if it were concurrent with the
elections in the United States.
[*] Head
of the Arab Center for Future Studies
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